KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeAbove 10% 15%-5.0%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,3 €
Liquidità
48,6 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
15.0% / 24.0%
Spread
60.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
4 mag 26, 19:0030 lug 26, 12:29
Trend
Esito scelto
Above 10%15%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
891,5 €Sì: 1%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
776,9 €June 30: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
477,7 €Sì: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
47,4 €Before 2027: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
5,9 €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
4,9 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 60%KALSHI
KALSHIRegole
If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 12.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.