KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 95%+1.0ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
439,6 €
Liquidità
487,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
6 ago 26, 21:15 UTC1 ott 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Clarity Act will pass in September
Manifold MarketsHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWill Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30?
PredictItRegole
If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote
- For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? · Before Jan 1, 2027 96%
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 105,1K €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 42,5K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 95% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act??
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless.