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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. US x China Military clash before 2027?
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

0.5% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticaChina6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 8%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

284,6 €

Liquidità

17,2K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+1.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

14 gen 26, 19:1531 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes8%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,723.10+1.67%EthereumETH$1,654.79+0.91%SolanaSOL$64.99+0.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.70%XRPXRP$1.11-0.23%BNBBNB$597.79+1.53%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.