PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeSì 5%
Qualita del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
13,2 €
Liquidità
34,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
4.1% / 4.9%
Spread
19.5%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+0.8%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
14 gen 26, 19:1431 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes5%
Grandi operazioni
$1.0k95.0%POLYMARKETNohellokitty11722 gg fa
POLYMARKETNohellokitty11722 gg faTrend del volume
$152 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
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KALSHI
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.