Se Donald Trump vince nel 2024, sarà scoppiata una guerra tra Cina e USA entro la fine del suo mandato nel 2025?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneGeopoliticaCina2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.8%
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60
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 53 minuti fa
In ritardo10 dic 23, 12:03 UTC1 feb 29, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
War as defined by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program is "A state-based conflict or dyad which reaches at least 1000 battle-related deaths in a specific calendar year"
- This will resolve YES for any war in which China and the USA are directly and kinetically involved on opposing sides.
- "Wins in 2024" refers to the 2024 presidential election.
- If Trump loses, this market will be refunded.
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/if-joe-biden-wins-in-2024-will-a-wa)
