If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezioneGeopoliticaChina3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 67.9%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto15 set 24, 16:49 UTC31 dic 29, 05:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolves according to this question if Trump is elected in 2024, otherwise NA.
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10880/china-to-invade-taiwan-before-2030/