Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 03:37 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 74%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 17:48 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
Manifold MarketsUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsHot war between the US and China by the end of 2026?
FutuurBy 2027, will the presidents of the US and China participate in a conversation in which an LLM also participates?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States government and the government of the People's Republic of China issue a joint, public statement or sign a formal agreement establishing a bilateral arrangement, framework, or pact specifically concerning artificial intelligence safety, governance, or cooperation before January 1, 2027.
- The arrangement must be explicitly identified as being between the US and China.
- Unilateral policies, separate statements made at the same event, or agreements made only through multilateral organizations (such as the UN or G20) without a distinct bilateral component do not qualify.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the White House (whitehouse.gov) or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China (fmprc.gov.cn).
