PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
No · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Riferimento salvato
No 95%
No 95%Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
110,2 €
Liquidità
30,9K €
Alta liquiditàOpen interest
4,9K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Commenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
14 set 26, 20:40 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · No
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
Manifold MarketsHot war between the US and China by the end of 2026?
FutuurBy 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of the United States and China announce an AI pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An AI pacing agreement means an agreement under which both governments commit to at least one of the following for AI developers within their jurisdictions: conditioning the training, releasing, or deploying AI models on safety requirements; capping the computing power used to train AI models; limiting the rate or extent to which AI systems autonomously train or improve more capable AI systems (recursive self-improvement); or otherwise pausing or slowing the training or release of AI models.
- Both governments must announce their acceptance of the agreement.
- A joint statement will qualify, as will separate official statements from each government that, taken together, confirm acceptance of the agreement.
- A statement by one government that the other does not confirm, and statements that reference ongoing negotiations, a prospective agreement, or an intention to cooperate without confirming acceptance of an agreement, will not qualify.
