PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 92.1%
Qualità del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
4,8K €
Liquidità
15,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
14 set 26, 20:40 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of the United States and China announce an AI pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An AI pacing agreement means an agreement under which both governments commit to at least one of the following for AI developers within their jurisdictions: conditioning the training, releasing, or deploying AI models on safety requirements; capping the computing power used to train AI models; limiting the rate or extent to which AI systems autonomously train or improve more capable AI systems (recursive self-improvement); or otherwise pausing or slowing the training or release of AI models.
- Both governments must announce their acceptance of the agreement.
- A joint statement will qualify, as will separate official statements from each government that, taken together, confirm acceptance of the agreement.
- A statement by one government that the other does not confirm, and statements that reference ongoing negotiations, a prospective agreement, or an intention to cooperate without confirming acceptance of an agreement, will not qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 92% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026??
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of the United States and China announce an AI pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.