Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
1.0 pt (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticaMiddle East6g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 56%+1.0pt
Qualita del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
428,5 €
Liquidità
947 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
43.0% / 44.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoComments
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 20:2728 ago 26, 23:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran.
- Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
- Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify.
- The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
