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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

0.9% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyPoliticaUS PoliticsChina18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 4%-0.0%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

177,9 €

Liquidità

7,1K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

3.2% / 5.4%

Spread

68.8%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-1.2%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

24 gen 26, 17:3930 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes4%

Regole

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
  • Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,606.90+2.26%EthereumETH$1,649.46+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.57%

Mercati Correlati

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

0 €
Sì: 34%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

0 €
Sì: 0%KalshiKALSHI
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Sì: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

247 €
Sì: 75%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.64%XRPXRP$1.12+0.27%BNBBNB$595.40+1.66%CardanoADA$0.1657+3.13%HyperliquidHYPE$54.92-0.62%AvalancheAVAX$6.58+1.22%

Notizie Correlate

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Regole

On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.

Polymarket
  • (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
  • Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.