U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
0.5 pt (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticaChina3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
<5% 21%+0.5ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
457,4 €
Liquidità
23,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
22.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
1
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
22 set 26, 20:05 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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ForecastExUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
- Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.
- Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered.