What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
Politica commercialeOne-OffCinaAmerica LatinaEuropa2m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
10% or above · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
10% or above 79.5%In testa tra 3 esiti
10% or above 79.5%Qualità del mercato
27 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
48,7 USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
10% or aboveSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
23 lug 26, 17:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · 10% or above
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
If the general import tariff rate on imports from Mexico into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street Journalthe United States CongressSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Timesthe President of the United StatesWhite HouseBloomberg NewsNBC
- The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect. Examples (for date = Jan 1, 2026): India: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50% China: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20% European Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326) Falkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)
Regole per ogni esito
- 10% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from Mexico into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 20% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from Mexico into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 30% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from Mexico into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.