What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
Trade PolicyOne-OffChinaLatin AmericaEurope3m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
10% or above 77%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
30,1 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
23 lug 26, 17:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the general import tariff rate on imports from Mexico into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street Journalthe United States CongressSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Timesthe President of the United States
- The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date.
- This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country.
- Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify.
- The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions.
- If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.
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Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027??
- Kalshi quota 10% or above al 77% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027??
- What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the general import tariff rate on imports from Mexico into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.