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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsChina7m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 0%
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

0 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

79.0% / 86.0%

Spread

8.9%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

3 giu 26, 23:304 feb 27, 13:29

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Sì
Sì
0%
No
No
100%

Esito scelto

Yes0%

Regole

If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
  • For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
  • The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
  • The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.

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100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Sì: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

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Sì: 34%KalshiKALSHI
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

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Sì: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

0,3 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 81%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,654.90+2.25%EthereumETH$1,650.86+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.62%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.66%XRPXRP$1.12+0.36%BNBBNB$595.23+1.67%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
  • For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
  • The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
  • The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.