PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No
Risolto: 1 ago 2026, 06:38
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
No
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
—
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 ago 2026, 06:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 100%+0.0pt
Qualità del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
134,2 €
Liquidità
9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Variazione 7g
-2.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 31 giorni fa
Obsoleto26 giu 26, 21:1231 lug 26, 23:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
