US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
0.5 pt (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticaMiddle EastChina1m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 84.2%+0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
712,8 €
Liquidità
716 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
25 ago 26, 23:271 ott 26, 3:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with China.
- Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by China or Chinese citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
- Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with China will qualify.
- The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against China will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
