KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 175 92%+1.0ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
202,7 €
Liquidità
269,3 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
4 set 26, 16:30 UTC15 set 26, 13:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
PolymarketTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Mercati aperti
Trade PolicyKALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 13,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7K €
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156.5%
- October 3130.6%
- September 30+3.0pt13%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 307%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+11.0pt35%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,3K €
POLYMARKETWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- No+4.0pt77%
- Yes-4.0pt23%
- Volume totale
- 17,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 556,6 €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-5.0pt72%
- No28%
- Volume totale
- 1,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 543,1 €
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
- Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi quota Above 175 al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13) dovrebbe risolversi il 15 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.