PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
<25 47%-0.5ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
77 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
665,4 €
Liquidità
49,5K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-18.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
26 ago 26, 22:15 UTC30 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
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KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
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Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.