Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto13 ago 25, 01:25 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria obvious, if he does it YES (and we definitely will hear about it), if midterms come and no rebate specifically sourced according to him from the tariffs resolves NO.
- I will not trade in any of my markets going forward.
Mercati aperti
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,4K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volume totale
- 6,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3K €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1K €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 altri esiti
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms??
- Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria obvious, if he does it YES (and we definitely will hear about it), if midterms come and no rebate specifically sourced according to him from the tariffs resolves NO.