Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto24 gen 26, 14:35 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
Manifold MarketsWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if President Trump imposes a 100% tariff on the majority of all Canadian imports.
- Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government announcements, executive orders, or proclamations published on the White House website or Federal Register.
- The tariff must be formally implemented and take effect to resolve YES.
- If Trump threatens but does not implement a 100% tariff, or implements a rate below 100%, the market resolves NO.
- On January 24, 2026, Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian imports if Canada makes a trade deal with China.
Mercati aperti
Trade PolicyKALSHIWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Before 2027-0.7pt5%
- Before August0%
- Volume totale
- 2,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,1K €
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3157.5%
- October 31-5.0pt29.2%
- September 3013.3%
+1 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
- Before Dec 1, 202657%
- Before Jan 1, 202755%
- Before Nov 1, 202652%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7K €
KALSHIWhen will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
- Before Jan 1, 202762%
- Before Nov 1, 202658%
- Before Dec 1, 202658%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt27%
- October 31-1.0pt12%
- September 306%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?
- No85%
- Yes15%
- Volume totale
- 2,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9K €
- Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
- Will Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
- US x Cuba economic deal by which date?
- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump tariff Canada 100%?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump tariff Canada 100%?
- Will Trump tariff Canada 100% dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump tariff Canada 100%?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria