Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026?
FedOne-OffTrade PolicyWeather3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 70.8%
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9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto12 apr 26, 10:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point during the calendar year 2026, the German federal government officially legislates or enacts a regulatory change that entirely eliminates the Einspeisevergütung (feed-in tariff) for new, small-scale photovoltaic installations.
- "Small-scale" is defined according to the thresholds established in the Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG) at the time of the potential policy change.
- If the tariff is modified, reduced, or restructured but not fully repealed for all new small-scale systems, the market will resolve to NO.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK) or the publication of amended EEG legislation in the Bundesgesetzblatt (Federal Law Gazette).
- The Einspeisevergütung is a core component of the German Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG), designed to incentivize the expansion of renewable energy by guaranteeing grid operators pay fixed rates for electricity fed into the grid.
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 35 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 71% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026??
- Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria