Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 60%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto6 lug 26, 14:45 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be the USAJMO Cutoff for 2027?
Manifold MarketsUSA(J)MO cutoffs are biased?
Manifold MarketsUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Mathematical Association of America (MAA) officially and publicly releases the numerical index qualification cutoffs (the combined AMC and AIME index threshold) for the USA Mathematical Olympiad (USAMO) and/or the USA Junior Mathematical Olympiad (USAJMO) for any future competition cycle on or before December 31, 2028.
- This market will resolve to NO if no such official numerical cutoffs are publicly released by the MAA by December 31, 2028.
- Key Details:
- Official Source: The cutoff scores must be published directly by the MAA on their official website (e.g., maa.org) or via an official MAA AMC communications platform.
- Exclusions: Unofficial estimations, crowdsourced data, or statistics compiled by third parties (such as the Art of Problem Solving community, tutoring organizations, or individual coordinators) will not trigger a YES resolution unless they are explicitly adopted and published officially by the MAA.
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 230,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 77,1K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 109,5K €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9K €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 60% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again??
- Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria