Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92%
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
8 set 26, 23:12 UTC30 apr 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRegole
same resolution criteria as https://manifold.markets/SG/all-millennium-prize-problem-solved except substitute "January 1, 2030" with "April 30, 2027"
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 230,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 77,1K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 109,5K €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9K €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027??
- All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 aprile 2027.
- Come viene liquidato All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: same resolution criteria as https://manifold.markets/SG/all-millennium-prize-problem-solved except substitute "January 1, 2030" with "April 30, 2027"