Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97%
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
13 set 26, 04:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many of the 7 Millennium Prize Problems will be solved by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.3pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 58,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 460,9K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt21%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 20276%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+6.0pt86%
- Yes-6.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 20,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,4K €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030+0.1pt71%
- Before 2029+0.1pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 257,2K €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0-8.0pt31%
- Above 1-2.0pt13%
- Above 2-4.0pt6%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+1.0pt51%
- Before 203247%
- Before 203030%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 118,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1K €
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY??
- All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.