KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before 2040 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before 2040 42.5%In testa tra 5 esiti
Before 2040 42.5%Qualità del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
213,2 USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Before 2040Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
12 set 26, 22:00 UTC7 gen 28, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before 2040
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Regole
If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2040 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostThe EconomistSciencethe Clay Mathematics Institutethe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street Journalthe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Guardianthe Associated PressReutersScientific American
- For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP Problem, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time: A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals. A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Annals of Mathematics, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work. At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before 2040
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2040 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2035
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2035 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2030
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2029 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
