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Dati al 15 set 2026, 16:52 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before 2028 0%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
12 set 26, 22:00 UTC7 gen 28, 15:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many of the 7 Millennium Prize Problems will be solved by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostThe Economistthe Clay Mathematics Institutethe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street Journalthe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Guardianthe Associated PressReuters
- For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP Problem, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time:
- A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals.
- A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Annals of Mathematics, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2029 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved??
- Kalshi quota Before 2028 al 0% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved??
- When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved? dovrebbe risolversi il 7 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.