$AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6.0% (24h)IA TecnologiaOne-OffScienza5m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

$Sì$

Sì 70%-0.1%

Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

605,9 €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

67.0% / 72.0%

Spread

7.5%

Spread moderato

Variazione 7g

-2.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 17 minuti fa

12 nov 25, 22:0931 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes70%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/).
If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Trend del volume

$100

2 lug22g di dati26 lug

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Will we reverse-engineer a language model into an interpretable (python) program by 2027?

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Sì: 3.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

114,2 €

Before 2030: 36%

KALSHI

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

0,8 €

China: 50%

KALSHI

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

0 €

At least 25: 90%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,495.69+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,884.81+1.47%

SolanaSOL$74.90+1.35%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.46%

BNBBNB$570.35+0.86%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.95%

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/).
If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".

$AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6.0% (24h)IA TecnologiaOne-OffScienza5m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

$Sì$

Sì 70%-0.1%

Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

605,9 €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

67.0% / 72.0%

Spread

7.5%

Spread moderato

Variazione 7g

-2.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 17 minuti fa

12 nov 25, 22:0931 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes70%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/).
If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Trend del volume

$100

2 lug22g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

Will 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?

219,8 €

Sì: 66.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will roko's basilisk end up happening by 2050?

219,8 €

Sì: 6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will we reverse-engineer a language model into an interpretable (python) program by 2027?

219,8 €

Sì: 3.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

114,2 €

Before 2030: 36%

KALSHI

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

0,8 €

China: 50%

KALSHI

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

0 €

At least 25: 90%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,495.69+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,884.81+1.47%

SolanaSOL$74.90+1.35%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.46%

BNBBNB$570.35+0.86%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.95%

Notizie Correlate

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/).
If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".