Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolitica5gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
10 set 26, 18:40 UTC17 set 26, 20:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsHouthis successfully target shipping by which date?
PolymarketFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by September 18, 2026 at 23:59 UTC, the Iranian government or an authorized Iranian state body publicly unveils a new specific shipping corridor through the Strait of Hormuz, providing sufficiently concrete routing or operational details for it to constitute more than a statement of intent.
- A qualifying announcement may come from the Iranian government, Supreme National Security Council, an authorized maritime or ports authority, or another official state body.
- Statements merely saying that Iran plans, intends, or expects to announce a new corridor do not qualify.
- Publication of an official map, defined route, coordinates, operational rules, or another clear description of the new corridor qualifies as YES.
- The market resolves NO if no such official announcement has occurred by the deadline.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-2.6pt8%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 548,1K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+4.0pt23%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Volume totale
- 56,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 207K €
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+11.5pt61%
- September 30+18.0pt48%
- September 21+19.5pt40%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders?
- Hormuz+94.0pt99%
- Fake News+77.0pt99%
- Russia / Russian+93.0pt99%
+25 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 63% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026??
- Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 17 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria