PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeMojtaba Khamenei 75%+1.5%In testa tra 123 esiti
Qualita del mercato
100 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
24,4K €
Liquidità
1,4 Mln €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
75.0% / 75.3%
Spread
0.4%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+3.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
1 mar 26, 0:2831 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Esito scelto
Mojtaba Khamenei75%
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Leader of Iran at end of 2026?
6m
65.7%
2.6%
0.2%
+21 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità212 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
Volume totale43,2K €
Volume 24h142,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
- Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
- If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
- Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
- Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
- Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
- If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
- Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
- Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.