PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 15 33%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
2,8K €
Liquidità
10,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
41.8 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
10 set 26, 19:04 UTC15 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date?
PolymarketHouthis target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsHouthis enter Aden by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
- Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
- Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.