Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
CommoditiesOne-OffGeopoliticaMiddle EastTrade Policy3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.1%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto21 apr 26, 13:38 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
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PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRegole
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, there are no significant restrictions, detentions, or military-backed disruptions to commercial shipping transiting the Strait of Hormuz compared to pre-2023 levels, as reported by major international maritime authorities or reputable news outlets.
- The market resolves to NO if, at any point throughout 2026, incidents such as the seizure of vessels by state actors, declared maritime exclusion zones, or significant, sustained disruptions to commercial traffic originating from geopolitical tensions persist or reoccur.
- Relevant sources for determining the status of shipping include reports from the International Maritime Organization (IMO), the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), and major international wire services (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press).
- If sources are conflicting or ambiguous, the market will resolve based on the consensus reported by major international news outlets regarding whether "normal" transit conditions have returned.
Mercati aperti
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 414,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 265,7K €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 altri esiti
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 126,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 126,9K €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 113,1K €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 112,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 78,2K €
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- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 87% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026??
- Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This description was generated by AI.