Previsione della comunità attuale
No 84.7%
Previsori
56
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 26 minuti fa
22 dic 23, 14:22 UTC1 gen 30, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
AI tools will cause mass casualties or $500mn harm before 2029 such as would have been covered under SB 1047.
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich UBI policy will be adopted after mass unemployment due to AI?
Manifold MarketsWill a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsIs Sam Altman right that we will see AI agents materially change the output of companies in 2025?
Manifold MarketsRegole
To resolve, I'll take direction from the consensus of the mainstream media...
- If major media outlets are saying unemployment has risen to over 25% (I believe that was roughly how bad things got in the American Great Depression?) and unequivocally state that AI is the primary cause, then we got a winner!
