Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 93%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto28 ott 23, 17:01 UTC1 gen 01, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Is the Jacobian conjecture true?
Manifold MarketsIs the Jacobian conjecture true in two dimensions?
Manifold MarketsIs the Hodge conjecture true?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegole
The first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture, also called the k-tuple conjecture, gives an asymptotic formula for the number of primes p ≤ x such that p, p + a₁, p + a₂, ..., p + aₖ are all prime, for any tuple (a₁, a₂, ..., aₖ).
- For the exact formula, see: https://mathworld.wolfram.com/k-TupleConjecture.html
- [link preview]
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 59,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 176,8K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-1.1pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 271K €
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+10.9pt97%
- Yes-10.9pt3%
- Volume totale
- 24,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,9K €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-1.5pt75.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-1.0pt0%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.6pt73%
- No27%
- Volume totale
- 302,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,8K €
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 93% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true??
- Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2101.
- Come viene liquidato Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture, also called the k-tuple conjecture, gives an asymptotic formula for the number of primes p ≤ x such that p, p + a₁, p + a₂, ..., p + aₖ are all prime, for any tuple (a₁, a₂, ..., aₖ).