Given the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
EconomiaOne-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 85.7%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto20 dic 23, 23:20 UTC2 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?
Manifold MarketsDid US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
Manifold MarketsWho going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?
Manifold MarketsGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiFrance’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiRegole
Resolves N/A if the Republican doesn't win.
- Real median household income is $74,580 as of 2022.
- Resolves based on census.gov.
- This question is basically asking for the probability of stagnation or recession for the median American given the Republican wins.
- See also this question for if the Democrat wins.
- https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2023/demo/p60-279.html#:~:text=Real%20median%20household%20income%20was,and%20Table%20A%2D1).
