PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%-0.2pt
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
209,1 €
Liquidité
6,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.3% / 3.4%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
3
Variation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
28 avr. 26, 18:02 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- - More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- - An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- - OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-8.0pt72%
- September 18-7.5pt68%
- September 11-10.5pt60%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 978,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 379,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.5pt80.2%
- Yes-4.5pt19.8%
- Volume total
- 9,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,1 k €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+5.0pt58.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt28.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Al Nassr vs Abha
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour OPEC dissolves in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 97% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand OPEC dissolves in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- OPEC dissolves in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment OPEC dissolves in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.