Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 57%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète1 déc. 23, 04:51 UTC1 janv. 29, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
PolymarketWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
KalshiWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
LimitlessWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolves to YES if 9 or more of the 13 current official members of OPEC either leave the organization or stop adhering to production quotas (for >1 year) by Dec. 31, 2028.
- Update 2025-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Update:
- No Production Quotas: If OPEC continues as an organization but no quotas are issued, that situation will be treated as equivalent to members having stopped adhering to production quotas.
- Resolution Impact: This interpretation applies when determining if at least 9 of the 13 OPEC members meet the criteria for dissolving the organization.