Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
5.0 pts (24h)CommoditiesYearlyGéopolitiqueMacro & Economy3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 58%
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
10,1 €
Liquidité
3,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
34.0% / 69.0%
Écart
35.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
28 avr. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFrance 24 EnglishThe GuardianNBC NewsThe Times of IndiaFox NewsCBS NewsABC NewsThe Wall Street JournalNHK World-JapanCNNThe New York TimesBBC NewsThe Globe and MailAl Jazeera Englishthe Associated PressReutersThe South China Morning PostPoliticoChannel NewsAsiaBloomberg News
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Comparaison des sources de prévision
3 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 38%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 15 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm 38% · 3 plateformes · 15 pt d’ecart entre venues
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 58% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless, Futuur, Polymarket.