Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?
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Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
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Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
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Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète26 nov. 25, 05:46 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?
Manifold MarketsWill US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 48 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 25 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
KalshiWill the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed 1.5% in December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
Resolution notes
- Need two numbers for year 2030:
- Total global vanadium consumption (all uses, contained V).
- Vanadium consumption in VRFBs (contained V).
- Use high‑quality industry analyses (e.g., SFA, Wood Mackenzie, Argus, CRU).
- If at least two independent reputable sources estimate that VRFBs represent ≥ 20% of total vanadium consumption in 2030, resolve YES; if they consistently place it below 20%, resolve NO.
