PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 74.3%-1.0pt
Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
165,4 €
Liquidité
3,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
25.0% / 26.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
3
Variation 7j
-10.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
28 avr. 26, 17:15 UTC31 déc. 26, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsWill any country leave NATO in 2026?
FutuurRègles
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
3 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 26%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 2 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm 26% · 3 plateformes · 2 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
- Above $94.99+11.0pt99%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 441,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 377,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 résultats de plus
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,364.81 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- 161 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,1 k €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 100,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 100,7 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 résultats de plus
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 74% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- Où Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Limitless, Kalshi.