PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 11%+0.0%
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
32,4 €
Liquidité
9,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.0% / 12.0%
Spread
20.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+1.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
28 avr. 26, 17:1531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes11%
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 89% | +78pt | 32,4 € | 9,4 k € | il y a 16 minutes | |
 Kalshi65% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 86% | +75pt | 12 € | 5,6 k € | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Futuur100% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 73% | +62pt | 0 € | 1,3 k € | il y a 1 minute | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Futuur
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
5mo
73%
27%
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total1,3 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
5mo
86%
14%
44 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenne
Volume total15,4 k €
Volume 24h12 €
KALSHIRègles
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$375 juil.20j de données26 juil.
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Will any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
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PREDICTIT
PREDICTITActifs dans ces sujets
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On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.