PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 26%
Qualite du marche
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
47,6 €
Liquidité
11,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
28 avr. 26, 17:2031 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Yes26%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
1.0%6mo
+1.0%31%
69%
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total117 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.