Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Middle EastOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaLatin America3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.9%
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11
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète26 nov. 23, 20:32 UTC31 déc. 26, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
147 countries are currently party to the 1967 Protocol that extended the Geneva convention signed in 1951 (see the UNHCR website).
- Will any country leave the protocol by Dec 31, 2026?
- This market resolves YES if a party that was previously a party to the protocol decides to leave it.
- If a country splits in two and one country decides not to join within two years after being recognized by the UN, it will count as YES, otherwise, it will not be taken into account.
- If two countries regroup where one was a party of the protocol and the other was not, it will count as YES if the newly form country decides not to be party to the convention.
- The current list is:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : 147 countries are currently party to the 1967 Protocol that extended the Geneva convention signed in 1951 (see the UNHCR website).