PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94%-0.2pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
15 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.7% / 8.1%
Écart
3.4 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
7 janv. 26, 22:11 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
PolymarketWill BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027?
KalshiWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
PolymarketWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
KalshiWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
- The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.