FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 85%
Non 85%Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
5
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This event predicts whether any member country will formally announce its withdrawal from the OPEC or OPEC+ alliance by December 31, 2026 (inclusive), after the United Arab Emirates’ exit from this group.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or statements by the withdrawing country or by OPEC confirming a member’s departure.
- If any country officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC or OPEC+ during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary non-compliance with production quotas, disputes, or informal statements will not count as a departure.
- If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
4 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence inter-plateformes de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 8%. L'écart entre plateformes est d'environ 8 points de pourcentage.
Référence CoinRithm 8% · 4 plateformes · 8 pt d’ecart entre venues
