PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
5.5 to 5.6 99%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
5.5 to 5.6 99%Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,6 k €
Liquidité
5,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.2 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
30 sept. 26, 04:07 UTC1 oct. 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Kalshi8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Kalshi10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Polymarket9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on September 30, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on September 30, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.
