Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète27 avr. 26, 03:40 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be found in the Big Void in the Great Pyramid of Giza?
Manifold MarketsWill the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years?
Manifold MarketsWill "the void" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsLowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
PolymarketWill LSST Supernovae Ia survey find evidence of a local void with |δ|>20% at z<0.1 by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, inclusive, a team of researchers or explorers publicly announces that they have successfully entered, deployed exploratory equipment into, or physically accessed the space known as the "Big Void" within the Great Pyramid of Giza.
- Access is defined as either human entry or the successful insertion of a probe, camera, or sensor package into the interior of the void, substantiated by credible media reporting or official statements from Egypt's Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities (https://mota.gov.eg/en/).
- If no such access is confirmed by public record or official announcement by the end of 2026, the market resolves to NO.
- The "Big Void" is a large, previously unknown interior space within the Great Pyramid of Giza, first identified in 2017 by the ScanPyramids project using muon radiography—a technique that detects density variations within large structures.
- The void is located above the Grand Gallery and is estimated to be at least 30 meters long, though its exact purpose, contents, and connectivity to other known chambers remain subjects of intense academic debate and archaeological mystery.
Marchés ouverts
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt3%
- September 30+0.1pt0%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 61,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 750,8 k €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 20275%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 30,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 30 k €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+0.5pt75%
- 2+1.0pt24%
- 3+0.1pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.0pt69%
- No31%
- Volume total
- 311,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- before 2027+17.0pt95%
- before December+20.0pt90%
- before November+30.0pt86%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+2.0pt40%
- Above 1+3.0pt18%
- Above 24%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 109,9 k €
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
- Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
- Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria