Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 59%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète13 avr. 24, 19:01 UTC2 janv. 00, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be found in the Big Void in the Great Pyramid of Giza?
Manifold MarketsWill the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026?
Manifold Markets2026: Will Elton John still be standing?
Manifold MarketsBy 2040, will we believe the Great Sphinx was built substantially before the pyramids at Giza?
Manifold MarketsWill Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
KalshiWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
KalshiRègles
It's been up for 4,500 years already. will it double it, or give it to the next person?
- Update 2025-05-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to YES even if the Great Pyramid is moved from its original location in Giza, as long as it is still standing.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CultureKALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.8 million92%
- Above 1.9 million90%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 33,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9 k €
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Notre Dame99%
- UCLA99%
- WashU99%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 32,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
KALSHIWill Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
- Yes+11.0pt84%
- No16%
- Volume total
- 6,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,8 k €
KALSHITSA avg check-ins from Sep 21 to 27, 2026?
- Above 2.35 million95%
- Above 2.4 million+32.0pt57%
- Above 2.45 million+9.0pt10%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,7 k €
KALSHIBozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
- Above 950 units96%
- Above 1,100 units93%
- Above 1,250 units+8.0pt81%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 19,2 k €
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 11,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 539,8 €
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- 60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Is Earth flat?
- Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $56,000 in 2026?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 59% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 6500.
- Comment Will the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : It's been up for 4,500 years already. will it double it, or give it to the next person?