Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleHieroglyphics (for example on walls, or on artefacts) 80%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète27 avr. 26, 03:45 UTC2 janv. 40, 04:42 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years?
Manifold MarketsWill a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill "the void" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsLowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on findings officially announced by the Egyptian Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities or credible, peer-reviewed scientific reports regarding the exploration of the "Big Void" (the ScanPyramids Big Void) located above the Grand Gallery of the Great Pyramid of Giza.
- An answer will resolve to "Yes" if a direct investigation, such as through non-invasive imaging, robotic exploration, or physical access, provides evidence that the item in question exists within the void.
- Multiple options may resolve to "Yes" if multiple items are discovered.
- If official investigations conclude that the space is empty, contains only structural materials (like natural debris or limestone), or if no definitive identification is possible, "Nothing" will resolve to "Yes."
- In 2017, the ScanPyramids project, utilizing muon tomography, identified a large, previously unknown void inside the Great Pyramid of Giza, situated above the Grand Gallery.
Marchés ouverts
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt3%
- September 30+0.1pt0%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 61,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 750,8 k €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 20275%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 30,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 30 k €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+0.5pt75%
- 2+1.0pt24%
- 3+0.1pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.0pt69%
- No31%
- Volume total
- 311,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- before 2027+17.0pt95%
- before December+20.0pt90%
- before November+30.0pt86%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+2.0pt40%
- Above 1+3.0pt18%
- Above 24%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 109,9 k €
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
- Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
- Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be found in the Big Void in the Great Pyramid of Giza? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Hieroglyphics (for example on walls, or on artefacts) à 80% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be found in the Big Void in the Great Pyramid of Giza? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be found in the Big Void in the Great Pyramid of Giza? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2040.
- Comment What will be found in the Big Void in the Great Pyramid of Giza? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria