Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
8.0 pts (24h)One-OffScienceWeather
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 75%-8.0pt
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
440,5 €
Liquidité
4,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
75.0% / 77.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
5 juin 25, 16:451 janv. 50, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space StudiesNCEIBerkeley EarthUK Met Office Hadley Centre (HadCRUT)
- At least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 75% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2050.
- Comment Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.