Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75.4%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète6 juin 26, 04:00 UTC11 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by end of January 31st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2027.
Manifold MarketsAvengers: Doomsday: Cast
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRègles
Exactly 80 seconds, no more, no less.
Marchés ouverts
ScienceKALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 20275%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 29,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 93,2 k €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.3pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+1.5pt75%
- 2+0.5pt24%
- 3-0.2pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No-8.4pt88%
- Yes+8.4pt12%
- Volume total
- 27,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,2 k €
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 13,9 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
- Before 204064%
- Before 2035-5.1pt48%
- Before 203033%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 37,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 813,2 €
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
- When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027? doit être résolu le 11 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Exactly 80 seconds, no more, no less.