Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 60%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète6 juil. 26, 14:45 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be the USAJMO Cutoff for 2027?
Manifold MarketsUSA(J)MO cutoffs are biased?
Manifold MarketsUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Mathematical Association of America (MAA) officially and publicly releases the numerical index qualification cutoffs (the combined AMC and AIME index threshold) for the USA Mathematical Olympiad (USAMO) and/or the USA Junior Mathematical Olympiad (USAJMO) for any future competition cycle on or before December 31, 2028.
- This market will resolve to NO if no such official numerical cutoffs are publicly released by the MAA by December 31, 2028.
- Key Details:
- Official Source: The cutoff scores must be published directly by the MAA on their official website (e.g., maa.org) or via an official MAA AMC communications platform.
- Exclusions: Unofficial estimations, crowdsourced data, or statistics compiled by third parties (such as the Art of Problem Solving community, tutoring organizations, or individual coordinators) will not trigger a YES resolution unless they are explicitly adopted and published officially by the MAA.
Marchés ouverts
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 230,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 77,1 k €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,6 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 109,5 k €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 k €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria