Will any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps?
GéopolitiqueQuarterlyMoyen-OrientRussie / UkraineEuropeMatières premières2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète13 mars 26, 14:58 UTC1 janv. 27, 14:49 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Treasury ease Russia sanctions beyond diesel (crude oil, gasoline or jet fuel) before Election Day, Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?
PolymarketUS Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff?
Manifold MarketsWill the Graham Act sanctions take effect in 2026?
KalshiWill the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz before April 5, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The market resolves YES if, in response to the Iran war's effect on markets, any non-USA country eases, suspends, or removes any current sanctions on Russian crude oil or petroleum products, or changes the price cap on Russian oil products.
- Resolves as soon as there's naval stability in the strait of Ormuz (if it happens before 2027).
- Countries currently implementing sanctions/price caps on Russian oil: - The European Union - The United Kingdom - Canada - Japan - Australia - New Zeeland - Norway - Iceland - Switzerland
- I will not trade on this market