Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 32 minutes
24 déc. 25, 20:51 UTC25 déc. 26, 20:50 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
With Khan voted out, will Keir Starmer be the next ICC chief prosecutor?
Manifold MarketsSusie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
PolymarketSusie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU apply its blocking statute to U.S. sanctions on the ICC?
KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes if Morgan McSweeney is sanctioned by the USA government.
- This includes not being able to travel to USA.
- Doesn’t matter if Morgan is serving as Chief of staff when sanctions occur.
- Resolves no if no sanctions by end of 2026.