Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète24 déc. 25, 20:51 UTC25 déc. 26, 20:50 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
PolymarketSusie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsTrump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
PolymarketUS lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves Yes if Morgan McSweeney is sanctioned by the USA government.
- This includes not being able to travel to USA.
- Doesn’t matter if Morgan is serving as Chief of staff when sanctions occur.
- Resolves no if no sanctions by end of 2026.
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 419,7 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.1pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
KALSHISanchez Izquierdo vs Rodriguez Taverna
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo70.3%
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna29.7%
- Volume total
- 290,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 241,8 k €
POLYMARKETSeville: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Gonzalo Bueno
- Completed Match100%
- Bueno Set 1 Winner100%
- Bueno Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 171,8 k €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt86%
- Yes+1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 758 k €
- Volume 24h
- 94,3 k €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.5pt77.7%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.4%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.3pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Seville: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand US Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff? doit être résolu le 25 décembre 2026.
- Comment US Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves Yes if Morgan McSweeney is sanctioned by the USA government.