Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 5%
Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
22,3 €
Liquidité
12,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
5.1% / 5.2%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
+0.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
20 juil. 26, 22:06 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
KalshiWho will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurAndy Burnham Exit Date - 2026
SmarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham's departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The departure will be considered to be announced when Andy Burnham, the Government of the United Kingdom, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Burnham has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of the specified person's resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave office in 2 years," nor "I will not be in office forever," would qualify).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 5% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham's departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.