FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 23 oct. 2026, 09:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
June 30, 2027 15%
June 30, 2027 15%Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
816,5 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
2
Commentaires
3
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
UK Prime Minister after Andy Burnham
Manifold MarketsOn which days will Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister
Manifold MarketsNext UK Prime Minister after Andy Burnham?
Manifold MarketsWill someone other than Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister at any point before 1 August 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiRègles
This event predicts whether Andy Burnham will leave the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by the dates listed in the markets.
- For the purposes of this event, "leave office" means that Andy Burnham ceases to hold the position of Prime Minister — through resignation, removal, replacement, or any other cause that ends his premiership, including death or permanent incapacity.
- Each market below covers one deadline and resolves on its own; any number of these markets may resolve 'Yes'.
- Resolution is based on the substantive exit from the office, not temporary incapacity or ceremonial delegation of duties.
- A resignation announcement alone does not qualify: the market period in which Burnham actually ceases to hold the office is the one that governs.
- Once a market's condition is met, it resolves to 'Yes' immediately and irrevocably, regardless of later events.